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E-commerce to make up almost half of the predicted $11 billion in Christmas spending this year

The Australian Retailers Association says Aussies are expected to spend an average of $726 each, with a large proportion of that coming from e-commerce.
Dean Blake
Dean Blake
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Source: Unsplash/Rupixen.

Retailers have 11 billion reasons to look forward to this Christmas period, according to the Australian Retailers Association.

Aussies are expected to spend an average of $726 each, with most (79%) preparing to spend the same or more than they did last year, according to joint research by the ARA and Roy Morgan.

This is compared to last yearโ€™s expectations, which saw Aussies wanting to spend around $500 each.

The prior yearโ€™s expectations by the NRA landed closer to $50 million, though the ARAโ€™s survey could be affected by the lower levels of stimulus and Deltaโ€™s impact on the economy, as well as a narrower survey base.

And as the country pushes through an uncertain few months to a potential reopening of physical retail, online is expected to play a bigger role than in prior years โ€” with almost half of all spend likely to come through e-commerce.

โ€œThe past few months have been a uniquely challenging time for most retailers, in particular small businesses navigating extended state-imposed lockdowns and restrictions that have limited their ability to trade,โ€ said ARA chief executive Paul Zahra.

โ€œDespite this uncertainty, the good news is that consumer sentiment is upbeat for Christmas and retailers can look forward to healthy trading conditions over the busy festive season.

โ€œWe might be in September, but weโ€™re already seeing Christmas levels of demand with current online purchases.โ€

Wesfarmers chief executive Rob Scott said the business was optimistic about the year head, according to the AFR, but that he is wary of the long-term effects on consumer and business confidence from elongated lockdowns.

โ€œThere have been a lot of people stood down, so lots of people are out of work and that does have a very negative effect on the economy,โ€ Scott said.

โ€œThe current levels of stimulus are a lot lower than last year, so we should be quite cautious and concerned about the longer-term economic impacts if lockdowns were to continue.โ€